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MSCI\’s reshuffle on May 15 may eject Paytm from the MSCI Global Standard index, potentially attracting $2 billion from passive funds. Nuvama estimates 12 stocks to join, with inflows ranging from $144 million to $224 million each.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led Bharatiya Janata Party is widely expected to win a third term, which will help his administration continue its focus on modernizing infrastructure and boost manufacturing. Indian equities have risen to records this year following a rally driven by robust economic growth.
Paytm will be a high conviction exclusion, causing outflows of $77 million from India, the domestic brokerages\’ note said. Paytm\’s exclusion comes after a nearly 40% correction in the share price following RBI\’s ban on its Paytm Payments Bank. Meanwhile, Berger has yielded nearly 9% returns over 1 year.